Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd | NIIT Tech - Q1FY18 Results - First Cut Analysis

NIIT Tech (REDUCE, CMP Rs 545, TP Rs 540) Jun’17 quarter results:
NIIT Tech’s Jun’17 quarter adjusted operating performance was lower than our expectations. Order intake continue to remain modest at US$ 110mn adding no confidence on near term business recovery (12M executable order book at US$ 320mn – up 4% yoy).  Revenues in CC terms grew by 1.4% and we expect the momentum to remain soft in the subsequent quarters. While the company has done commendable job on OPM improvement but we believe the re-rating of the stock would be function of revenue growth visibility and thus the stock should underperform in the short term.
We have a Reduce rating on NIIT Tech with a TP of Rs 540.
  • NIIT Tech's Jun’17 quarter revenues at Rs 7,089mn (-4.8% qoq, adjusted decline of 1.2%) were tad lower than our estimates of Rs7,123mn (Previous quarter revenues were higher by Rs270mn on one time revenues).  
  • EBITDA at Rs 1,108mn declined by 12.2%QoQ (reported basis decline of 27% QoQ) implying EBITDA margins of 15.6% (down 480bps QoQ) V/s Emaky est of 17% on account of weaker operating performance and RuleTek integration (one-month integration in the quarter).
  • NIIT Tech reported net profit of Rs 513mn (down 40% QoQ, adjusted PAT down 31%).
Other highlights
  • Order wins at US$ 110mn (up 9% YoY, down 4% on trailing four quarter average).
  • Client addition :  9 (includes 5 on RuleTek integration) 
  • Overall Headcount increased by ~110 QoQ people during the quarter to 8,963 people but is still lower from yoy basis (headcount down by 59).
NIIT Tech Jun’17 quarterly result summary:
In Rs mn
Q1FY18A
Q4FY17
QoQ (%)
Q1FY17
YoY(%)
Net sales (US$ mn)
109.9
110.5
-0.6
101.0
8.8
Net sales (INR Mn)
7,089
7,447
-4.8
6,707
5.7
Operating expenses
5,981
5,923
5,692
EBITDA
1,108
1,524
-27.3
1,015
9.2
Margins (%)
15.6
20.5
            (480)
15.1
                  50
Depreciation
316
312
326
EBIT
792
1,212
-34.7
689
14.9
Margins (%)
11.2
16.3
            (510)
10.3
Other income
58.0
-12.2
-575.4
83.0
Pre-tax profit
850
1,200
-29.2
772
10.1
Tax provided
295.0
265.0
80.0
Profit after tax
555
935
692
Minority Interest
42.0
72.0
46.0
Reported Net profit
513.0
1002.8
286.0
Emkay Net profit
513
863
-40.5
647
-20.7
EPS, Rs
8.4
11.3

12.9


Source: Company, Emkay Research.

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